Posted on by Bonnie

COVID-19 Update November 22

COVID-19 Update November 22

  • Total: 621 confirmed cases in Salem
  • 1 out of 48 Salem residents have been infected 
  • Salem Today: 5 new cases today; 127 active cases

• • • • • • Community Transmission • • • • • •

Community Transmission (per NH Department of Health and Human Services): The overall level of community transmission is defined using three metrics.  A community is then assigned an overall level based on the highest-level determination for any specific metric. The metric which is changing the most right now is the number of new cases.

  • NH Community Transmission Metrics:
    • New Cases per 100k over 14 days: 
      • Scale: Minimal: <50; Moderate: 50 – 100; Substantial: >100. 
      • Daily average: 378.2 Substantial
    • New hospitalizations per 100k over 14 days:
      • Scale: Minimal: <10; Moderate: 10 – 20; Substantial: >20, 
      • Daily average: 1.3%
    • Average PCR Test Positivity Rate over 7 days:
      • Scale: Minimal: <5%; Moderate: 5% – 10%; Substantial: >10%
      • Daily average: 4.0%
    • New Hampshire’s Level of Transmission: Substantial
  • Rockingham County Transmission:
    • New Cases per 100k over 14 days: 364
    • New hospitalizations per 100k over 14 days: 1.0
    • Average PCR Test Positivity Rate over 7 days: 4.6
    • Rockingham County’s Level of Transmission: Substantial
  • Other NH Locations
  • All 10 counties and our two major cities remain at a substantial level of transmission, as all have new cases per 100K over 2 weeks.
  • Manchester now has a PCR positivity rate is 10.3. Nashua as well as Belknap County are also in the moderate transmission level for this metric.
  • Coos County has dropped to a positivity rate at a minimal level of community transmission. 
  • The highest level of the three metrics determines the level of community transmission. 

• • • • • • TODAY’S SPOTLIGHT • • • • • •

  • Salem numbers look slightly better than they have recently, although it’s not time to celebrate … yet. 
  • With today’s new cases, we have now had 621 people in Salem who have been infected. That’s an increase of five cases. The average for the previous week is 16 new cases per day.
  • Salem’s active cases have dropped by 9 to 127. This means that 14 people from Salem were marked as “recovered,” before adding in the five new cases.
  • Today in NH, the number of new cases is 322 per NH DHHS; the number of cumulative cases went up by 317. Prior to today, the daily average for the last week is 424 cases per day. This is hopeful, but, again, it’s too early to celebrate, as most weeks the biggest increases seem to be reported from Tuesday to Friday.
  • The number of persons being monitored in NH is 6,800. Today was another new record. The average for the previous week is 6,286 per day. 
  • There are 4,199 active cases in NH today. This number has gone up every day since October 28. 
  • One more person was hospitalized in NH with COVID-19, bringing the cumulative total to 830. The current hospital census is 117; there have been no new admissions to the ICU.  
  • While some of our other numbers appear to be improving, the number of people who have lost their life due to COVID-19 is not. Today, NH lost four people to this disease.

• • • • • • Communities • • • • • •

  • NH DHHS says that the new cases reside in Rockingham (81), Hillsborough County other than Manchester and Nashua (38), Merrimack (32), Belknap (22), Cheshire (12), Grafton (12), Strafford (10), Carroll (8), Coos (4), and Sullivan (3) counties, and in the cities of Manchester (57) and Nashua (20). The county of residence is being determined for twenty-three new cases. 
  • Active cases:
    • 288 people were reported as “recovered” today; these are reflected in today’s changes. 
    • Farmington, Gilford, Hanover, Sandown and Wolfboro now have less than 20 active cases, and has been removed from the list.
    • 19 of the remaining communities that had 20 active cases yesterday have fewer active cases today than yesterday.
    • One community — Hollis — now has more than 20 active cases
    • After these adjustments, there are now 41 NH communities with more than 20 active cases. Between them, these communities have 3,009 active case, accounting for 72% of all active cases.
    • Concord now has more than 100 active cases, and Hudson now has less than 100.
    • Six communities — Manchester, Nashua, Salem, Derry, Durham,  and now Concord — have more than 100 active cases.
    • Only Manchester and Nashua have more active cases than Salem.
    • Notable net changes in active cases from yesterday: Manchester: 687 (+36). Concord: 100 (+8). Londonderry: 79 (+6). Keene: 48 (+5). Laconia: 45 (+5). Seabrook: 40 (+5). Hollis: 21 (+3). Meredith: 28 (+3). Portsmouth: 60 (+3). Merrimack: 85 (+2). Milford: 36 (+2). Colebrook: 23 (+1). Derry: 107 (+1). Hampstead: 22 (+1). Hooksett: 60 (+1). Plymouth: 29 (+1). Atkinson: 25 (+0). Bedford: 70 (+0). Hampton: 68 (+0). Litchfield: 29 (+0). Plaistow: 29 (+0). Weare: 20 (+0). Amherst: 21 (-1). Auburn: 20 (-1). Belmont: 25 (-1). Dover: 73 (-1). Pelham: 47 (-1). Somersworth: 24 (-1). Tilton: 25 (-1). Exeter: 26 (-2). Goffstown: 53 (-2). Nashua: 392 (-2). Stewartstown: 45 (-2). Windham: 42 (-2). Newport: 35 (-3). Raymond: 40 (-3). Rindge: 29 (-4). Hudson: 95 (-5). Rochester: 76 (-5). Salem: 127 (-9). Durham: 103 (-16).  
  • Cumulative Cases
    • There are now 70 communities that have had 50 or more cases.
    • Stratham now has more than 50 cumulative cases.
    • Hampton now has more than 200 total cases. Portsmouth hit 300 today.
    • Manchester, Nashua, Derry, Salem and Bedford have had more than 500 cases.
    • Some of the communities with 50 or more total cases, and significant changes in cumulative cases since yesterday are: Manchester: 3296 (+57). Nashua: 1798 (+20). Concord: 443 (+12). Londonderry: 378 (+12). Derry: 637 (+8). Laconia: 141 (+8). Merrimack: 328 (+8). Portsmouth: 306 (+8). Meredith: 63 (+7). Hampton: 205 (+6). Keene: 122 (+6). Seabrook: 126 (+6). Salem: 621 (+5). Bedford: 569 (+5). Hooksett: 231 (+5). Hudson: 388 (+5). Milford: 211 (+5). North Hampton: 56 (+5). Auburn: 89 (+3). Chester: 58 (+3). Durham: 357 (+3). Goffstown: 396 (+3). Hollis: 58 (+3). Litchfield: 103 (+3). Pelham: 207 (+3). Stratham: 52 (+3). Tilton: 55 (+3).  

• • • • • • DIAGNOSTIC TESTS IN NH • • • • • •

  • New positive cases by my math (Total of today’s cases minus yesterday’s total): 317
  • New positive cases per DHHS: 322
    • 215 PCR tests
    • 107 Antigen tests
  • Children under 18 in new cases: 33
  • Total positive cases in NH: 17,598
  • Percentage of today’s tests that are positive per DHHS: 2.3%
  • Total PCR test results reported today (Positive results plus negative results): 3,791
  • The daily average of diagnostic (PCR) tests reported from 7 days ago to today: 2,388
  • New negative results reported today: 3,474
  • Total negative cases in NH: 386,726

• • • • • • ROCKINGHAM COUNTY • • • • • • 

  • Total cases in Rockingham County: 4,201
  • New cases in Rockingham County: 81
  • Rockingham County: New cases per 100K residents: 26.1
  • Rockingham County 1-week average per 100K residents: 31.7
  • Rockingham County Positivity Rate: 4.6%
  • Percent of all cases from Rockingham County: 23.9%
  • Percent of all cases from either Hillsborough County or Rockingham County: 69%.

• • • • • • ACTIVE CASES • • • • • •

  • Active cases in NH: 4,199
  • Active cases in Rockingham County: 889
  • Percent of NH’s active cases that are in Rockingham County: 21.2%

• • • • • • OTHER TEST RESULTS • • • • • • 

  • New antibody tests: 51
  • Total antibody tests (No break downs of positive vs. negative): 32,909
  • The daily average of antibody tests reported from 7 days ago to today: 37

• • • • • • CHANGES BY AGES • • • • • •  
(Total infections, percentage of all infections, and increase from yesterday to today)

  • 0-9: 615 = 4% (+14).
  • 10-19: 1729 = 10% (+51).
  • 20-29: 3326 = 19% (+93).
  • 30-39: 2435 = 14% (+66).
  • 40-49: 2229 = 13% (+69).
  • 50-59: 2624 = 15% (+68).
  • 60-69: 1919 = 11% (+57).
  • 70-79: 1060 = 6% (+38).
  • 80+: 1329 = 8% (+27).
  • Unknown: 15 = 0% (+1).

• • • • • • RECOVERED IN NH • • • • • • 

  • Announced today: 288
  • Total Recovered: 12,887
  • Percentage of diagnosed cases that have recovered: 73.2%

• • • • • • HOSPITALIZATIONS IN NH • • • • • • 

  • New: 1
  • Current: 117
  • Total Hospitalized: 830
  • Percentage of those who have been infected that have been hospitalized: 4.72%
  • Total admitted to ICU: 276

• • • • • • DEATHS IN NH • • • • • • 

  • Lives lost today: 4
  • Persons over 60 years of age who died today: 4
  • Persons under 60 years of age who died today: 0
  • Total fatalities in NH associated with COVID-19: 512
  • NH Residents diagnosed with COVID-19 that died: 2.91%
  • Lives lost in Rockingham today: 0

These are not simply numbers. We must not forget that these are all someone’s husband or wife, mother or father, sister or brother, son or daughter, friend or neighbor.

“The safety of the people shall be the highest law.”

– Marcus Tullius Cicero, (Roman philosopher born in 106 BC)


Hello, Salem!

I have placed the information to the Massachusetts Travel Order in a separate post. It can be found here. That link is also at the bottom of this update, and will be included in future updates.

Yesterday, I updated the table with some data from several other countries and several other states. It can be found further down in this report. Compare the US statistics to other countries, and compare NH’s numbers to other places, too. How do you feel we are doing? I think we could do better, but we could be worse, too.

Another weekend has come to an end. I hope yours was a good one. Stay safe, and always, be kind.

~Bonnie

It took 43 days before NH reached it’s first 1,000 confirmed diagnoses. It took two days to go from 14,000 to 15,000. We reached 16,000+ on Nov. 19.

This screenshot comes from https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6942e2.htm?s_cid=mm6942e2_w

This report is explained here:
https://www.clickondetroit.com/health/2020/10/20/cdc-from-january-to-october-us-had-299k-more-deaths-than-in-previous-years/

Useful links

Sources used to create these reports:

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