Posted on by Bonnie

COVID-19 Update November 9

COVID-19 Update November 9

  • Total: 466 confirmed cases in Salem
  • 1 out of 63 Salem residents have been infected
  • Salem Today: 7 new cases, 70 active cases 

Community Transmission (per NH Department of Health and Human Services): The overall level of community transmission is defined using three metrics.  A community is then assigned an overall level based on the highest-level determination for any specific metric. The metric which is changing the most right now is the number of new cases.

  • NH Community Transmission Metrics:
    • New Cases per 100k over 14 days: 
      • Scale: Minimal: <50; Moderate: 50 – 100; Substantial: >100. 
      • Daily average: 171.4. Substantial
    • New hospitalizations per 100k over 14 days:
      • Scale: Minimal: <10; Moderate: 10 – 20; Substantial: >20, 
      • Daily average: 1.1%
    • Average PCR Test Positivity Rate over 7 days:
      • Scale: Minimal: <5%; Moderate: 5% – 10%; Substantial: >10%
      • Daily average: 2.4%
    • New Hampshire’s Level of Transmission: Substantial
  • Rockingham County Transmission:
    • New Cases per 100k over 14 days: 182.4
    • New hospitalizations per 100k over 14 days: 1.6
    • Average PCR Test Positivity Rate over 7 days: 3.1
    • Rockingham County’s Level of Transmission: Substantial
  • Other NH Locations, with changes from yesterday
    • Manchester: 168.3 new case average; 0.9 hospitalizations; 2.7% positivity. Substantial
    • Nashua: 188.0 new case average; 2.2 hospitalizations; 4.8% positivity). Substantial
    • Hillsborough County excluding Manchester and Nashua: 142.4 new case average. Substantial
    • Coos County: 408.4 new case average; Substantial
    • Grafton County: 141.4 new case average; Substantial
    • Carroll County: 104.6 new case average; Substantial
    • Belknap County: 122.9 new case average; Substantial
    • Sullivan County: 136.8 new case average; Substantial
    • Merrimack: 150.2 new case average; Substantial
    • Strafford County: 218.3 new case average; Substantial
    • Cheshire County: 94.1 new case average; Moderate
  • Changes to New Cases per 100K for NH, all counties, and our two largest cities:
    • There was an increase in both of our largest cities and all of our counties except Cheshire, which went down by a small amount, and is the only location that is still experiencing a moderate level of transmission.
    • Double digit increases were in Strafford County (31.5), Carroll County (20.5), Coos County (15.9), Nashua (15.7) and the State of NH (10.3).
    • At 4.8, Nashua has the highest positivity rate, closely followed by Sullivan Couny.

• • • • • • TODAY’S SPOTLIGHT • • • • • •

  • NH had its first day with more than 200 new cases just ten days ago. Six of those last 10 days, including the last five days, NH has seen more than 200 new infections. 
  • Another seven Salem residents were diagnosed with COVID-19 today. Salem has added 50 new cases in the past week.
  • Salem now has 70 people who are considered to be infectious.
  • Only four communities have had more cumulative cases than Salem: Manchester, Nashua, Derry, and Bedford. Only three communities have more active cases than Salem:
    Manchester, Nashua and Dover.
  • For the 11th time since Oct 15, we have broken the record for the number of people – 5,275 — who are being monitored for COVID-19. 
  • There were 2,057 active cases today, the most since May 20. 
  • NH DHHS reported that “due to a laboratory reporting issue, the PCR positivity rate cannot be accurately calculated.”

Communities:

  • Notable changes in active cases from yesterday to today:
    • 57 people were reported as “recovered;” these are reflected in today’s changes. Two of these communities has fewer active cases than yesterday. 
    • One more community has more than 20 active cases: Laconia (21). 
    • There are 29 NH communities with more than 20 active cases. Between them, these 29 communities have 1,324 active cases, accounting for 64% of all active cases. (Shown: # of active cases and change from yesterday).
    • Manchester: 157 (+12). Nashua: 147 (+21). Dover: 76 (+12). Salem: 70 (+5). Durham: 68 (+9). Concord: 58 (+0). Bedford: 57 (+0). Derry: 48 (+1). Portsmouth: 48 (+1). Plymouth: 47 (+3). Rochester: 46 (+5). Warner: 41 (+0). Windham: 41 (+2). Londonderry: 37 (+1). Pelham: 36 (+7). Hudson: 35 (+1). Merrimack: 33 (+8). Newport: 32 (+1). Goffstown: 26 (+0). Berlin: 25 (+0). Sandown: 24 (+1). Hampton: 24 (+4). Colebrook: 23 (+0). Milford: 22 (+0). Pembroke: 22 (+0). Exeter: 21 (+1). Hooksett: 20 (-1). Raymond: 19 (-1).  
  • Some of the communities with significant changes in cumulative cases:
    • Nashua: 1338 (+20). Manchester: 2565 (+17). Dover: 278 (+12). Merrimack: 229 (+10). Durham: 222 (+10). Pelham: 152 (+8). Rochester: 194 (+8). Salem: 466 (+7). Derry: 514 (+5). Portsmouth: 219 (+5). Plymouth: 84 (+4). Concord: 333 (+4). Hudson: 262 (+4). Sandown: 81 (+4). Hampton: 125 (+4). 

 According to numbers from WorldOmeter, the US just had over 135,000 new cases today.

• • • • • • DIAGNOSTIC TESTS IN NH • • • • • • 

  • New positive cases by my math (Total of today’s cases minus yesterday’s total): 211
  • New positive cases per DHHS: 215
    • 157 PCR tests
    • 58 Antigen tests
  • Children under 18 in new cases: 25
  • Total positive cases in NH: 12,699
  • Percentage of today’s tests that are positive per DHHS: Unknown
  • Total PCR test results reported today (Positive results plus negative results: 716
  • The daily average of diagnostic (PCR) tests reported from 7 days ago to today: 1907
  • New negative results reported today: 505
  • Total negative cases in NH: 350,845

• • • • • • ROCKINGHAM COUNTY • • • • • •

  • Total cases in Rockingham County: 3,113
  • New cases in Rockingham County: 40
  • Rockingham County: New cases per 100K residents: 12.9
  • Rockingham County 1-week average per 100K residents: 15.0
  • Rockingham County Positivity Rate: 3.1%
  • Percent of all cases from Rockingham County: 24.5%
  • Percent of all cases from either Hillsborough County or Rockingham County: 72%

• • • • • • ACTIVE CASES • • • • • •

  • Active cases in NH: 2,057
  • Active cases in Rockingham County: 497
  • Percent of NH’s active cases that are in Rockingham County: 24.2%. 

• • • • • • OTHER TEST RESULTS • • • • • • 

  • New antibody tests: 4
  • Total antibody tests (No break downs of positive vs. negative): 32,406
  • The daily average of antibody tests reported from 7 days ago to today: 26

• • • • • • CHANGES BY AGES • • • • • • 

  • 0-9: +11 (4% of all cases; 5% of new cases)
  • 10-19: +33 (9% of all; 16% today) 
  • 20-29: +44 (18% of all; 21% today) 
  • 30-39: +28 (14% of all; +13% today)
  • 40-49: +22 (13% of all; 10% today)
  • 50-59: +32 (15% of all; 15% today)
  • 60-69: +21 (11% of all; 10% of today) 
  • 70-79: +11 (6% of all; 5% today) 
  • 80+: +9 (9% of all; 4% today) 
  • Unknown: 0 (0% of all; 0% today)

• • • • • • RECOVERED IN NH • • • • • • 

  • Announced today: 57
  • Total Recovered: 10,153
  • Percentage of diagnosed cases that have recovered: 80.0%

• • • • • • HOSPITALIZATIONS IN NH • • • • • • 

  • New: 3
  • Current: 55
  • Total Hospitalized: 794
  • Percentage of those who have been infected that have been hospitalized: 6.25%

• • • • • • DEATHS IN NH • • • • • • 

  • Lives lost today: 0
  • Persons over 60 years of age who died today: 0
  • Persons under 60 years of age who died today: 0
  • Total fatalities in NH associated with COVID-19: 489
  • NH Residents diagnosed with COVID-19 that died: 3.85%
  • Lives lost in Rockingham today: 0

These are not simply numbers. We must not forget that these are all someone’s husband or wife, mother or father, sister or brother, son or daughter, friend or neighbor.

“Every bad situation is a blues song
waiting to happen.”

Amy Winehouse

Hello, Salem!

Tonight I was singing the blues … NH DHHS’s website was not very cooperative tonight. The website was down earlier today, and then again this evening when I went to look for tonight’s numbers. It was starting to look like I wouldn’t have any info for you this evening. In their press release, NH DHHS said, “Due to a laboratory reporting issue, the PCR positivity rate cannot be accurately calculated” so apparently there was some kind of a technical issue. 

I’ll admit, I was concerned about the delay and what that might mean. It is likely that the numbers will get worse before things get better. WMUR reported, “Gov. Chris Sununu said Friday that Granite Staters should be prepared for a very aggressive spike in COVID-19 cases in the coming weeks. … The governor said the state could be looking at 500 to 1,000 new daily cases by the end of the month.” 

When I saw that we had no new people that were hospitalized, and no new fatalities, I felt a sense of relief. It has been 10 days since we had our first day with over 200 new cases. Some earlier reports suggest that fatalities are most likely to occur 11 or 15 or 18 days after the beginning of symptoms. If things follow the pattern that we have seen, there is a good chance that we will start seeing an increase in the number of hospitalizations and fatalities associated with COVID-19. Let’s hope that we don’t follow that pattern, and that Governor Sununu’s prediction is wrong. It doesn’t need to happen. Don’t let “COVID-fatigue” get to you. Try to stay positive, stay safe, and always, be kind.

~Bonnie

This screenshot comes from https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6942e2.htm?s_cid=mm6942e2_w

This report is explained here:
https://www.clickondetroit.com/health/2020/10/20/cdc-from-january-to-october-us-had-299k-more-deaths-than-in-previous-years/

This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is Changes-by-month-877x1024.jpg

Useful links

Sources used to create these reports:

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